We have an interesting 13 game slate this Sunday, with ownership relative evenly distributed for all positions.

We have some ownership concentration at the RB position, but projections only have the Christian McCaffrey
Woody Marks for combined ownership of 60% (with 88% chance of success), and Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Jahmyr Gibbs, Kenneth Walker III, Travis Etienne Jr., Devin Neal, and Quinshon Judkins with combined ownership of 100%. Accordingly, 80% of the field will play 2 of 9 available RB. This provides quite a bit of opportunity for the casual DFS player.

Similar to RB position, the WR position has two players, Puka Nacua and Ja’Marr Chase, with combined ownership of 60% (with a 75% chance of success) and 11 other WRs totaling 141% including, Nico Collins, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Davante Adams, Tetairoa McMillan, Wan’Dale Robinson, Jauan Jennings, Zay Flowers, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Terry McLaurin, Michael Wilson, Brian Thomas Jr.

There is a 66% probability that at least one of Christian McCaffrey or Woody Marks, and one of Puka Nacua or Ja’Marr Chase will perform well. Which means there is a 34% chance that only one of these four players performs, and the other three fail to perform.

This is a good week to maximize diversification with some concentration on the top four players and a few lineups with only one of the four key players.

I believe the strategy for this week is to use volume as leverage over the field. I recommend that you play a higher quantity of low entry fee contests (with reasonable payout structure) and avoid playing the $100+ entry fee contests.

I have built 6 different categories of lineups, included below.