Football

Thanksgiving Day NFL Slates

DFS Dashboard provides actual probability information so users can make pragmatic decisions for DFS lineups and sportsbetting.

The Thanksgiving main slates are only three game slates, so it is imperative to select the exact players that will outperform their projections. In a deeper slates, if you fail to select the key player, you may not win the big prize, but you can still finish above the cash line. When the slate only a few games, if you fail to pick the key player, you will not cash.

When building a lineup, I always start with the RB position. I am projecting that 85% of the field will be on 2 of the 5 RB’s, and there is a 99.27% chance that one of these five will be a key player in a winning lineup, and an 81.3% chance that at least two of these RBs are key players in a winning lineup.

Kareem Hunt is a nice play at 5300, and I have him projected at around 7% owned, I would consider playing him at the Flex spot if you plan to fade the Chiefs passing game.

WRs this week are similar to the RBs, insofar that there are only a few great options that are highly owned and have a high probability chance of success. I am projecting that 85% of the field will own two of these WRs, and there is a 98.13% chance that at least one of these WRs will perform and a 76.6% probability chance that at least 2 of these WRs perform.

I would pair up a QB with the WRs you selected.

There is room to differentiate your lineup from other lineups at the WR3, TE and Flex positions. Here are a list of low owned and higher probability players to consider at these positions.

Tight End: Mark Andrews (high owned), Mike Gesicki, Isaiah Likely, Luke Musgrave, and whoever starts at TE for DET.

WR: Xavier Worthy, Romeo Doubs, Jameson Williams, Christian Watson, Andrei Iosivas, Dontayvion Wicks, Marquise Brown, Mitchell Tinsley, DeAndre Hopkins, Kalif Raymond, KaVontae Turpin, Rashod Bateman.

I probably would not get too cute at DST and focus on one of the following 3 teams;