Monday Night Football – DraftKings SD Slate

DFS Dashboard provides actual probability information so users can make pragmatic decisions for DFS lineups and sports betting.

We cashed over 50% of our lineups for Thursday Night Football, and over 50% of our lineups for Main Slate on Sunday, with two lineups finishing in the top 100 out of 7,000+ entries. These contests were all tournament contest where only the top 20% cashed.

63% of the CPT ownership will be spread between 4 players, Jalen Hurst, 23% owned and 70% chance of success, Saquon Barkley, 20% owned and 57% chance of success, Omarion Hampton 10% owned and 35% chance of success, and AJ Brown, 10% owned and 36% chance of success.

Sportsbooks have this as a low scoring game with a very low probability of combined score in the 50’s, and a relatively high probability that the total score is in the 30’s. This means the Kickers and DST’s positions are in play, and there is a premium for picking the exact players to score TDs.

In SD lineups, I have found success cheating over to a single player with the highest probability chance of success, kind of like when a goalie in a free kick has to cheat to one side. You may guess wrong, but you have a better chance of picking a winning lineup with one player in the CPT than if you spread players at CPT and end up with a bunch of mediocre lineups.

With one player at CPT, this gives you a chance to play multiple lineups with maximum diversification at the Flex positions.

One recommendation regarding contest selection. You do not need to be playing a contest with a $100 entry fee. DraftKings offers many SD single-entry contest at $15 or less that have really strong payout structures ($1,000-$7,500). Plus, it is zero fun putting up $200 and working your ass off to beat 80% of the field for minimum cash of 1.5X.

I have run 25 lineups with Jalen Hurst as CTP. See below.

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