I am going to use my Fantasy Football Probability Engine customized for the FFPC Slim Draft to draft an actual team via slow draft process. The actual draft started today. May 19, 2026. I have the first overall pick. I will walk through the process of using my draft software and pick evaluation process for all 20 rounds.

Round 1

First, I setup the draft parameters in the draft app as 12 teams, pick 1, 20 rounds, QB/2RB/2WR/2FLEX.

I selected hide selected players to keep the player pool clean and easy to read. I unchecked the box that forces no QB before the 9th round because in a best ball draft QBs can go earlier than in a traditional “classic” draft.

You can also see all of my scheduled picks in the top of the screen.

next, I select “Sim Picks” and see the screen below.

I select the Run Simulation – Round 1 button and get the screen below.

This provides over 1 billion simulations of every possible combination of players I can select and every possible combination of players that my opponents can select. I then provide the starting lineup and projected points for the best team if you select a WR with this pick, or select a RB with this pick, or select a TE with this pick, or select a QB with this pick. Notice the team with an RB selected is 2578 PTS, and the team with the TE selected is 2504. I will select a RB here.

Now the page gives me three options at RB and the probability that each RB will score the highest of those three options, as follows.

The simulated projection has CMC as 36% chance to outscore Saquon 33% and Gibbs/Bijan 31%. Note that simulations have Bijan at a statistical tie with Gibbs at 31%. According to probabilities CMC is the better pick but the probabilities are so close I will favor the younger ascending player in Gibbs. but you could not go wrong with CMC here.