Best Bet
#7 Rhetorical
Race 12 — Manhttn-G1
2-1
30.4% win
Best Longshot
#5 Fusion
Race 1 — Md Sp Wt 115k
10-1
14.0% win
R1Md Sp Wt 115k
Win#4 Cold Spell (3-5) · #3 Pippa Adds (6-1) · #5 Fusion (10-1)
Longshot#5 Fusion (10-1) — CLS A+
Exacta4,3,5 / 4,3,5,7,2$12
Trifecta4,3,5 / 4,3,5,7,2 / 4,3,5,7,2,6,8,1$36.0
R2OC 80k/C
Win#3 Life and Times (9-5) · #4 Incentive Pay (5-1) · #9 Senior Officer (2-1)
Longshot#6 Awesome Native (20-1) — CLS A+
Exacta3,4,9 / 3,4,9,8$9
Trifecta3,4,9 / 3,4,9,8 / 3,4,9,8,6,5,7$22.5
R3OC 80k/C
Win#8 Intellect (6-5) · #10 Ranger Battalion (5-2) · #11 Le Gris (3-1) · #9 Candytown (4-1) · #2 Signator (10-1) · #7 Son of a Birch (10-1)
Longshot#7 Son of a Birch (10-1) — CLS A
Exacta8,10,11 / 8,10$4
Trifecta8,10,11 / 8,10 / 8,10,11,9,2,7,12,1,4,6$16.0
R4OC 55k/N1X
Win#2 Naive Melody (3-1) · #6 Chatter (4-1) · #4 Speightful Lily (6-1)
Longshot#7 Helen's Revenge (8-1) — CLS A
Exacta2,6,4 / 2,6,4,3,7$12
Trifecta2,6,4 / 2,6,4,3,7 / 2,6,4,3,7,1,8,5$36.0
R5Alw 120000N1X
Win#2 Eponine (3-1) · #13 Brunch With Amy (4-1) · #9 Marketplaceofideas (9-2)
Longshot#5 Starship Athena (20-1) — SPD A+
Exacta2,13,9 / 2,13,9$6
Trifecta2,13,9 / 2,13,9 / 2,13,9,10,8,4,15,6,14$21.0
R6Alw 120000N1X
Win#5 Local Knowledge (5-2) · #8 Sea Strike (4-1) · #1 Playa Del Mar (6-1)
Longshot#12 Trust Fund (30-1) — CLS A+
Exacta5,8,1 / 5,8,1,14$9
Trifecta5,8,1 / 5,8,1,14 / 5,8,1,14,6,2,11$22.5
R7JsAGm-G1
Win#3 Segesta (7-5) · #2 Sandtrap (3-1)
Longshot#6 Fast Market (20-1) — SPD A+
Exacta3,2,1 / 3,2,1,4$9
Trifecta3,2,1 / 3,2,1,4 / 2,3,1,4,7,8,5$22.5
R8TruNrth-G3
Win#3 Bentornato (8-5) · #2 Imagination (4-1) · #6 Book'em Danno (2-1) · #8 Illuminare (10-1)
Longshot#4 Listenupshance (30-1) — SPD A+
Exacta3,2,6 / 3,2,6,8,1$12
Trifecta3,2,6 / 3,2,6,8,1 / 3,2,6,8,1,9,7,5$36.0
R9Jaipur-G1
Win#6 Ag Bullet (3-1) · #10 My Boy Prince (5-1) · #3 Litigation (7-2) · #5 Reef Runner (4-1)
Longshot#1 Governor Sam (15-1) — CLS A+
Exacta6,10,3 / 6,10,3,5$9
Trifecta6,10,3 / 6,10,3,5 / 6,10,3,5,4,8,7,1,9,2$36.0
R10WStphn-G1
Win#6 Crude Velocity (9-5) · #5 Solitude Dude (6-1) · #7 Englishman (3-1)
Longshot#1 Gilded Bandit (8-1) — SPD A+
Exacta6,5,7 / 6,5,7,9$9
Trifecta6,5,7 / 6,5,7,9 / 6,5,7,9,1,2,3$22.5
R11MtropltH-G1
Win#1 Nysos (9-5) · #7 Journalism (5-2)
Longshot#2 Vibe (15-1) — SPD A+
Exacta1,7,3 / 1,7,3,6,4$12
Trifecta1,7,3 / 1,7,3,6,4 / 7,1,3,6,4,5$24.0
R12Manhttn-G1
Win#7 Rhetorical (2-1) · #8 One Stripe (6-1) · #5 Deterministic (7-2) · #6 Bright Picture (3-1)
Longshot#2 Test Score (12-1) — CLS A+
Exacta7,8,5 / 7,8,5,6,2$12
Trifecta7,8,5 / 7,8,5,6,2 / 7,8,5,6,2,3,4,1$36.0
R13Belmont-G1
Win#4 Renegade (2-1) · #3 Chief Wallabee (3-1) · #9 Golden Tempo (9-2)
Longshot#2 Powershift (12-1) — PCE A-
Exacta4,3,9 / 4,3,9,7,8$12
Trifecta4,3,9 / 4,3,9,7,8 / 4,3,9,7,8,6,5$30.0
R14Alw 120000N1X
Win#15 Pagode (2-1) · #5 Favorable Scenario (4-1) · #8 Elnajd (5-1) · #10 Outrunner (5-1) · #11 Ramblin' Wreck (12-1)
Longshot#6 Blown Cover (15-1) — SPD A+
Exacta15,5,8 / 15,5$4
Trifecta15,5,8 / 15,5 / 15,5,8,10,11,12,14,4$12.0
Multi-Race Wagers
P3$.50 Pick 3 — Rolling
Pick 3 R1 4,3,5 / R2 3,4,9 / R3 8,10,11,9,2,7 ($.50 R1-3) $27.00
Pick 3 R2 3,4,9 / R3 8,10,11,9,2,7 / R4 2,6,4 ($.50 R2-4) $27.00
Pick 3 R3 8,10,11,9,2,7 / R4 2,6,4 / R5 2,13,9 ($.50 R3-5) $27.00
Pick 3 R4 2,6,4 / R5 2,13,9 / R6 5,8,1 ($.50 R4-6) $13.50
Pick 3 R5 2,13,9 / R6 5,8,1 / R7 3,2 ($.50 R5-7) $9.00
Pick 3 R6 5,8,1 / R7 3,2 / R8 3,2,6,8 ($.50 R6-8) $12.00
Pick 3 R7 3,2 / R8 3,2,6,8 / R9 6,10,3,5 ($.50 R7-9) $16.00
Pick 3 R8 3,2,6,8 / R9 6,10,3,5 / R10 6,5,7 ($.50 R8-10) $24.00
Pick 3 R9 6,10,3,5 / R10 6,5,7 / R11 1,7 ($.50 R9-11) $12.00
Pick 3 R10 6,5,7 / R11 1,7 / R12 7,8,5,6 ($.50 R10-12) $12.00
Pick 3 R11 1,7 / R12 7,8,5,6 / R13 4,3,9 ($.50 R11-13) $12.00
Pick 3 R12 7,8,5,6 / R13 4,3,9 / R14 15,5,8,10,11 ($.50 R12-14) $30.00
P4$.50 Pick 4
Pick 4 R2 3,4,9 / R3 8,10,11,9,2,7 / R4 2,6,4 / R5 2,13,9 ($.50 R2-5) $81.00
Pick 4 R5 2,13,9 / R6 5,8,1 / R7 3,2 / R8 3,2,6,8 ($.50 R5-8) $36.00
P5$.50 Pick 5
Pick 5 R1 4,3,5 / R2 3,4,9 / R3 8,10,11,9,2,7 / R4 2,6,4 / R5 2,13,9 ($.50 R1-5) $243.00
Pick 5 R4 2,6,4 / R5 2,13,9 / R6 5,8,1 / R7 3,2 / R8 3,2,6,8 ($.50 R4-8) $108.00
DC6$.20 Derby City 6 — R3-8
DC-6 R3 8,10,11,9,2,7 / R4 2,6,4 / R5 2,13,9 / R6 5,8,1 / R7 3,2 / R8 3,2,6,8 ($.20 R3-8) $259.20
J8$1 Jackpot 8 — R14 (exact order of finish)
1st #15 Pagode (2-1, 16.2%)
Highest win probability
2nd #5 Favorable Scenario (4-1, 13.7%)
2nd highest win probability
3rd #10 Outrunner (5-1, 9.0%)
Random selection
4th #8 Elnajd (5-1, 9.0%)
Random selection
5-8th #4 First Call Bob (12-1, 5.3%), #11 Ramblin' Wreck (12-1, 8.9%), #6 Blown Cover (15-1, 4.3%), #9 Griffin's Wharf (12-1, 4.4%)
Boxed (4! = 24 permutations)
Cost 1 × 1 × 1 × 1 × 24 = 24 combos $24.00

v3
JOC Jockey YTD win % · TRN Trainer YTD win % — absolute scale (A+ >25%, A 21-25%, ... D <10%)
CLS Class (field-relative) · SPD Speed (projected finish time from best race, 2-length bands)
PCE Pace (projected finish position from pace simulation: A+=1st, A=2nd-3rd, A-=4th, B+=5th, B=6th, B-=7th, C+=8th, C=9th, C-=10th, D=11th+)
Hover a J/T badge to see name and win rate. Click any header to sort.
Win % by ML odds rank: #1=34.8%, #2-4=17.1%, #5-6=5%, #7-8=2.5%, #9+=1.6%, normalized to 100%.
Bonus rules (first match wins per horse): (1) CLS ≥ A-, SPD ≥ A-: +8pp · (2) CLS ≥ B, SPD ≥ A-: +8pp · (3) CLS ≥ A-, SPD ≥ B-: +5pp
Connection bonuses (additive, stack on top): JOC ≥ A-: +5pp · TRN ≥ A-: +5pp
Field re-normalized to 100% after bonuses. Place/Show via Harville chain.