Best Bet
#6 Dresden Row
Race 10 — DinnrPty-G3
8-5
35.4% win
Best Longshot
#2 Don't Fool With Me
Race 5 — Alw 54000N1X
50-1
PCE A
R1OC 40k/N2X
Win#7 Epic Style (2-1) · #2 Boujee Bubblez (9-2) · #8 Gift of Gab (6-1)
Longshot#4 Sheilahs Warcloud (30-1) — CLS A+
Exacta7,2,8 / 7,2,8,3$9
Trifecta7,2,8 / 7,2,8,3 / 7,2,8,3,9,1,11,4$27.0
R2OC 40k/N2X
Win#1 Call Me Andy (2-1) · #0 Blue Kingdom (2-1) · #12 Grand Opening (12-1) · #3 Wickeddivine (10-1)
Longshot#12 Grand Opening (12-1) — CLS A+
Exacta1,0,12 / 1,0,12,3,4$12
Trifecta1,0,12 / 1,0,12,3,4 / 1,0,12,3,4,7,10,5$36.0
R3Md Sp Wt 52k
Win#1 Limo (3-1) · #3 Naabaahii (4-1) · #6 Munny Problem (5-1)
Longshot#7 Pendar (30-1) — SPD A+
Exacta1,3,6 / 1,3,6,4,5,10$15
Trifecta1,3,6 / 1,3,6,4,5,10 / 1,3,6,4,5,10,2$37.5
R4SkipatL125k
Win#7 Modo (5-2) · #2 Passage East (3-1) · #3 Kappa Kappa (5-2)
Longshot#5 Sporting Lady (12-1) — SPD A+
Exacta7,2,3 / 7,2,3,4,6$12
Trifecta7,2,3 / 7,2,3,4,6 / 7,2,3,4,6,1$24.0
R5Alw 54000N1X
Win#4 Sassari (3-1) · #7 Mambo Queen (6-1) · #3 I Love Giraffes (6-1) · #2 Don't Fool With Me (50-1) · #15 Devastating (12-1)
Longshot#6 Synergism (15-1) — CLS A+
Exacta4,7,3 / 4,7,3$6
Trifecta4,7,3 / 4,7,3 / 4,7,3,2,15,12,5,6,8,14$24.0
R6SirBartonB100k
Win#7 Reagan's Honor (9-5) · #2 Big Cuddle (5-1) · #4 Final Story (2-1)
Longshot#1 Minorinconvenience (12-1) — CLS A+
Exacta7,2,4 / 7,2,4,3,5$12
Trifecta7,2,4 / 7,2,4,3,5 / 7,2,4,3,5,1,6$30.0
R7ChickLangL150k
Win#4 Obliteration (7-5) · #5 Igniter (3-1)
Longshot#7 Top Manipulator (30-1) — SPD A+
Exacta4,5,3,6 / 4,5,3,6$12
Trifecta4,5,3,6 / 4,5,3,6 / 5,4,3,6,2,8$24.0
R8MdSprnt-G3
Win#4 Haileysfirstnotion (7-2) · #8 Slam Notion (9-2) · #5 Floodlites (4-1)
Longshot#3 Faust (8-1) — SPD A
Exacta4,8,5 / 4,8,5,2,6,3$15
Trifecta4,8,5 / 4,8,5,2,6,3 / 4,8,5,2,6,3$30.0
R9JWMurphyB100k
Win#5 Proton (2-1) · #2 Thebabeslayer (6-1) · #3 Zihnal (6-1)
Longshot#7 Jessica's Eyes (30-1) — SPD A+
Exacta5,2,3 / 5,2,3,6,1,4$15
Trifecta5,2,3 / 5,2,3,6,1,4 / 5,2,3,6,1,4,8$37.5
R10DinnrPty-G3
Win#6 Dresden Row (8-5) · #4 Fort Washington (4-1)
Longshot#2 Thundering (15-1) — PCE A
Exacta6,4,3 / 6,4,3,5,7$12
Trifecta6,4,3 / 6,4,3,5,7 / 4,6,3,5,7$18.0
R11Galorett-G3
Win#7 Child of the Moon (3-1) · #3 Accent (7-2) · #5 Austere (4-1)
Longshot#4 Warming (12-1) — SPD A
Exacta7,3,5 / 7,3,5,8$9
Trifecta7,3,5 / 7,3,5,8 / 7,3,5,8,4,2,6$22.5
R12TurfSprntL125k
Win#4 Chasing Liberty (7-2) · #1 Run Curtis Run (9-2) · #3 Jean Valjean (5-1) · #8 Outlaw Kid (5-1)
Longshot#11 Had to Have Him (8-1) — SPD A+
Exacta4,1,3 / 4,1,3,8,11$12
Trifecta4,1,3 / 4,1,3,8,11 / 4,1,3,8,11,2,7,9$36.0
R13Preaknes-G1
Win#9 Iron Honor (5-1) · #1 Taj Mahal (6-1) · #6 Chip Honcho (6-1)
Longshot#7 The Hell We Did (15-1) — CLS A
Exacta9,1,6 / 9,1,6,12$9
Trifecta9,1,6 / 9,1,6,12 / 9,1,6,12,2,7,5,10$27.0
R14Md Sp Wt 52k
Win#6 Grant the Great (7-2) · #4 Bruno (5-1) · #9 Mister Monday Nite (6-1)
Longshot#7 Ballinaclash (10-1) — CLS A+
Exacta6,4,9 / 6,4,9,8,3$12
Trifecta6,4,9 / 6,4,9,8,3 / 6,4,9,8,3,1,7$30.0
Multi-Race Wagers
P3$.50 Pick 3 — Rolling
Pick 3 R1 7,2,8 / R2 1,0,12,3 / R3 1,3,6 ($.50 R1-3) $18.00
Pick 3 R2 1,0,12,3 / R3 1,3,6 / R4 7,2,3 ($.50 R2-4) $18.00
Pick 3 R3 1,3,6 / R4 7,2,3 / R5 4,7,3,2,15 ($.50 R3-5) $22.50
Pick 3 R4 7,2,3 / R5 4,7,3,2,15 / R6 7,2,4 ($.50 R4-6) $22.50
Pick 3 R5 4,7,3,2,15 / R6 7,2,4 / R7 4,5 ($.50 R5-7) $15.00
Pick 3 R6 7,2,4 / R7 4,5 / R8 4,8,5 ($.50 R6-8) $9.00
Pick 3 R7 4,5 / R8 4,8,5 / R9 5,2,3 ($.50 R7-9) $9.00
Pick 3 R8 4,8,5 / R9 5,2,3 / R10 6,4 ($.50 R8-10) $9.00
Pick 3 R9 5,2,3 / R10 6,4 / R11 7,3,5 ($.50 R9-11) $9.00
Pick 3 R10 6,4 / R11 7,3,5 / R12 4,1,3,8 ($.50 R10-12) $12.00
Pick 3 R11 7,3,5 / R12 4,1,3,8 / R13 9,1,6 ($.50 R11-13) $18.00
Pick 3 R12 4,1,3,8 / R13 9,1,6 / R14 6,4,9 ($.50 R12-14) $18.00
P4$.50 Pick 4
Pick 4 R2 1,0,12,3 / R3 1,3,6 / R4 7,2,3 / R5 4,7,3,2,15 ($.50 R2-5) $90.00
Pick 4 R5 4,7,3,2,15 / R6 7,2,4 / R7 4,5 / R8 4,8,5 ($.50 R5-8) $45.00
P5$.50 Pick 5
Pick 5 R1 7,2,8 / R2 1,0,12,3 / R3 1,3,6 / R4 7,2,3 / R5 4,7,3,2,15 ($.50 R1-5) $270.00
Pick 5 R4 7,2,3 / R5 4,7,3,2,15 / R6 7,2,4 / R7 4,5 / R8 4,8,5 ($.50 R4-8) $135.00
DC6$.20 Derby City 6 — R3-8
DC-6 R3 1,3,6 / R4 7,2,3 / R5 4,7,3,2,15 / R6 7,2,4 / R7 4,5 / R8 4,8,5 ($.20 R3-8) $162.00
J8$1 Jackpot 8 — R14 (exact order of finish)
1st #6 Grant the Great (7-2, 28.4%)
Highest win probability
2nd #4 Bruno (5-1, 19.6%)
2nd highest win probability
3rd #8 Holy Moly Mitole (5-1, 12.1%)
Random selection
4th #9 Mister Monday Nite (6-1, 13.8%)
Random selection
5-8th #5 Start Tappin (15-1, 1.8%), #3 Love Yourself (6-1, 10.1%), #10 Leo's Foo (30-1, 1.1%), #2 Irish Nunsense (30-1, 1.1%)
Boxed (4! = 24 permutations)
Cost 1 × 1 × 1 × 1 × 24 = 24 combos $24.00

v3
JOC Jockey YTD win % · TRN Trainer YTD win % — absolute scale (A+ >25%, A 21-25%, ... D <10%)
CLS Class (field-relative) · SPD Speed (projected finish time from best race, 2-length bands)
PCE Pace (projected finish position from pace simulation: A+=1st, A=2nd-3rd, A-=4th, B+=5th, B=6th, B-=7th, C+=8th, C=9th, C-=10th, D=11th+)
Hover a J/T badge to see name and win rate. Click any header to sort.
Win % by ML odds rank: #1=34.8%, #2-4=17.1%, #5-6=5%, #7-8=2.5%, #9+=1.6%, normalized to 100%.
Bonus rules (first match wins per horse): (1) CLS ≥ A-, SPD ≥ A-: +8pp · (2) CLS ≥ B, SPD ≥ A-: +8pp · (3) CLS ≥ A-, SPD ≥ B-: +5pp
Connection bonuses (additive, stack on top): JOC ≥ A-: +5pp · TRN ≥ A-: +5pp
Field re-normalized to 100% after bonuses. Place/Show via Harville chain.