v3
JOC Jockey YTD win % · TRN Trainer YTD win % — absolute scale (A+ >25%, A 21-25%, ... D <10%)
CLS Class (field-relative) · SPD Speed (projected finish time from best race, 2-length bands)
PCE Pace (projected finish position from pace simulation: A+=1st, A=2nd-3rd, A-=4th, B+=5th, B=6th, B-=7th, C+=8th, C=9th, C-=10th, D=11th+)
Hover a J/T badge to see name and win rate. Click any header to sort.
Win % by ML odds rank: #1=34.8%, #2-4=17.1%, #5-6=5%, #7-8=2.5%, #9+=1.6%, normalized to 100%.
Bonus rules (first match wins per horse): (1) CLS ≥ A-, SPD ≥ A-: +8pp · (2) CLS ≥ B, SPD ≥ A-: +8pp · (3) CLS ≥ A-, SPD ≥ B-: +5pp
Connection bonuses (additive, stack on top): JOC ≥ A-: +5pp · TRN ≥ A-: +5pp
Field re-normalized to 100% after bonuses. Place/Show via Harville chain.
Churchill Downs

Bet Summary

05 / 07 / 2026
Best Bet
#11 Heart Headed
Race 6 — OC 80k/N2X
10-1
21.6% win
Best Longshot
#8 Alder
Race 6 — OC 80k/N2X
20-1
SPD A+
R1Md 30000
Win#7 Mula (5-2) · #6 Pampered Prince (9-2)
Longshot#1 Consequential (10-1) — CLS A+
Exacta7,6,2 / 7,6,2,8,1$12
Trifecta7,6,2 / 7,6,2,8,1 / 6,7,2,8,1,3$24.0
R2Clm 25000
Win#6 De' Medici (2-1) · #1 My Noble Knight (4-1)
Longshot#2 Slim Slow Slider (15-1) — SPD A+
Exacta6,1,8 / 6,1,8,7$9
Trifecta6,1,8 / 6,1,8,7 / 1,6,8,7,3,2,5$22.5
R3Md Sp Wt 120k
Win#4 Gypsy Art (5-2) · #3 Ink Lies (4-1)
Longshot#11 Soulman (10-1) — SPD A+
Exacta4,3,13 / 4,3,13,10$9
Trifecta4,3,13 / 4,3,13,10 / 3,4,13,10,8,11$18.0
R4Alw 20000s
Win#1 Awesome Ruta (4-5) · #6 Trusty Rusty (7-2)
Longshot#5 Calycanthus (12-1) — PCE A
Exacta1,6,3 / 1,6,3,9,5$12
Trifecta1,6,3 / 1,6,3,9,5 / 6,3,9,1,5,2$24.0
R5Md 30000
Win#11 Hot Gamer (2-1) · #1 Llamp (3-1) · #3 Pedital (8-1) · #10 Rotisserie (8-1)
Longshot#3 Pedital (8-1) — SPD A+
Exacta11,1,3,10 / 11,1,3,10$12
Trifecta11,1,3,10 / 11,1,3,10 / 1,3,10,11,4,5,9$30.0
R6OC 80k/N2X
Win#5 Pitkin (2-1) · #11 Heart Headed (10-1) · #7 Izzy d'Oro (10-1)
Longshot#8 Alder (20-1) — SPD A+
Exacta5,11,7 / 5,11,7,9$9
Trifecta5,11,7 / 5,11,7,9 / 5,11,7,9,2$13.5
R7Md Sp Wt 92k
Win#8 Mighty Nora (7-2) · #4 Don't Even (5-1)
Longshot#6 By La Rina (15-1) — SPD A+
Exacta8,4,12 / 8,4,12,10$9
Trifecta8,4,12 / 8,4,12,10 / 4,8,12,10,5$13.5
R8OC 125k/N1X
Win#7 Raiding Party (3-1) · #5 Good Family (7-2) · #2 Rhythm Lady (8-1) · #9 Call On Me (6-1)
Longshot#1 Embrace Time (12-1) — CLS A+
Exacta7,5,2 / 7,5,2,9$9
Trifecta7,5,2 / 7,5,2,9 / 7,5,2,9,10,6,1,3,12$31.5
Multi-Race Wagers
P3$.50 Pick 3 — Rolling
Pick 3 R1 7,6 / R2 6,1 / R3 4,3 ($.50 R1-3) $4.00
Pick 3 R2 6,1 / R3 4,3 / R4 1,6 ($.50 R2-4) $4.00
Pick 3 R3 4,3 / R4 1,6 / R5 11,1,3,10 ($.50 R3-5) $8.00
Pick 3 R4 1,6 / R5 11,1,3,10 / R6 5,11,7 ($.50 R4-6) $12.00
Pick 3 R5 11,1,3,10 / R6 5,11,7 / R7 8,4 ($.50 R5-7) $12.00
Pick 3 R6 5,11,7 / R7 8,4 / R8 7,5,2,9 ($.50 R6-8) $12.00
P4$.50 Pick 4
Pick 4 R2 6,1 / R3 4,3 / R4 1,6 / R5 11,1,3,10 ($.50 R2-5) $16.00
Pick 4 R5 11,1,3,10 / R6 5,11,7 / R7 8,4 / R8 7,5,2,9 ($.50 R5-8) $48.00
P5$.50 Pick 5
Pick 5 R1 7,6 / R2 6,1 / R3 4,3 / R4 1,6 / R5 11,1,3,10 ($.50 R1-5) $32.00
Pick 5 R4 1,6 / R5 11,1,3,10 / R6 5,11,7 / R7 8,4 / R8 7,5,2,9 ($.50 R4-8) $96.00
DC6$.20 Derby City 6 — R3-8
DC-6 R3 4,3 / R4 1,6 / R5 11,1,3,10 / R6 5,11,7 / R7 8,4 / R8 7,5,2,9 ($.20 R3-8) $76.80
J8$1 Jackpot 8 — R8 (exact order of finish)
1st #7 Raiding Party (3-1, 22.6%)
Highest win probability
2nd #5 Good Family (7-2, 18.1%)
2nd highest win probability
3rd #9 Call On Me (6-1, 11.1%)
Random selection
4th #2 Rhythm Lady (8-1, 11.1%)
Random selection
5-8th #3 Cooperation (20-1, 4.5%), #10 Turner's Charm (10-1, 8.8%), #13 Callmeyourmajesty (15-1, 1.6%), #12 Go to Girl (20-1, 4.5%)
Boxed (4! = 24 permutations)
Cost 1 × 1 × 1 × 1 × 24 = 24 combos $24.00