Best Bet
#8 Guardian
Race 5 — Clm 16000N2L
9-5
35.1% win
Best Longshot
#8 Frontier Justice
Race 9 — Alw 127000N1X
30-1
PCE A-
R1Md 20000
Win#5 Prayer (7-5) · #1 Al Amjaad (9-2)
Longshot#3 Whatever (15-1) — PCE A
Exacta5,1,6 / 5,1,6,4$9
Trifecta5,1,6 / 5,1,6,4 / 1,6,5,4,2,3,7$22.5
R2Clm 16000N2L
Win#6 Bachelor Party (9-5) · #4 Turkish Pistachio (5-2)
Longshot#3 Quibble (15-1) — SPD A+
Exacta6,4,7 / 6,4,7,3$9
Trifecta6,4,7 / 6,4,7,3 / 4,6,7,3,2,5,8$22.5
R3Md 40000
Win#4 Issachar (8-5) · #8 Joe Joe Dude (7-2) · #6 Cubalibre (9-2)
Longshot#9 Cross Power (30-1) — SPD B-
Exacta4,8,6 / 4,8,6,5,7$12
Trifecta4,8,6 / 4,8,6,5,7 / 4,8,6,5,7,3,9,2$36.0
R4Alw 127000N1X
Win#1 Clairita (9-5) · #2 Answered Prayers (3-1) · #6 Market Chill (5-1)
Longshot#7 Tetiaroa (10-1) — CLS A
Exacta1,2,6 / 1,2,6,5,3$12
Trifecta1,2,6 / 1,2,6,5,3 / 1,2,6,5,3,7,4$30.0
R5Clm 16000N2L
Win#8 Guardian (9-5) · #5 Lucius Verus (5-2)
Longshot#1 Mo Hair Sam (10-1) — PCE A-
Exacta8,5,4 / 8,5,4,6$9
Trifecta8,5,4 / 8,5,4,6 / 5,8,4,6,7,1,2$22.5
R6Clm 50000
Win#8 Goats On a Tree (7-5) · #4 Takemetothebeach (5-1) · #5 Classy'n Connected (4-1) · #6 Cozy Curlin Kitten (6-1)
Longshot#1 Goodbetterbest (8-1) — CLS A+
Exacta8,4,5 / 8,4,5,6$9
Trifecta8,4,5 / 8,4,5,6 / 8,4,5,6,1,3,9,2,7$31.5
R7Md Sp Wt 120k
Win#9 Deep Flame (9-5) · #5 Puteketeke (8-1) · #6 Great Moment (6-1) · #11 Embry Show (4-1)
Longshot#5 Puteketeke (8-1) — CLS A
Exacta9,5,6 / 9,5,6,11,8$12
Trifecta9,5,6 / 9,5,6,11,8 / 9,5,6,11,8,10,2,4$36.0
R8OC 80k/N2X
Win#2 Me and Molly McGee (5-2) · #8 Blue Fire (7-2) · #10 Beauty Reigns (9-2)
Longshot#4 Miss Enchanted (20-1) — SPD A+
Exacta2,8,10 / 2,8,10,1,7$12
Trifecta2,8,10 / 2,8,10,1,7 / 2,8,10,1,7,4,9,5,6$42.0
R9Alw 127000N1X
Win#7 Schwarzenegger (9-5) · #6 Double Talker (8-1) · #10 Rose Ruler (8-1) · #12 Military Cruiser (9-2)
Longshot#1 Long Pour (20-1) — CLS A+
Exacta7,6,10 / 7,6,10,12$9
Trifecta7,6,10 / 7,6,10,12 / 7,6,10,12,11,5,4$22.5
Multi-Race Wagers
P3$.50 Pick 3 — Rolling
Pick 3 R1 5,1 / R2 6,4 / R3 4,8,6 ($.50 R1-3) $6.00
Pick 3 R2 6,4 / R3 4,8,6 / R4 1,2,6 ($.50 R2-4) $9.00
Pick 3 R3 4,8,6 / R4 1,2,6 / R5 8,5 ($.50 R3-5) $9.00
Pick 3 R4 1,2,6 / R5 8,5 / R6 8,4,5,6 ($.50 R4-6) $12.00
Pick 3 R5 8,5 / R6 8,4,5,6 / R7 9,5,6,11 ($.50 R5-7) $16.00
Pick 3 R6 8,4,5,6 / R7 9,5,6,11 / R8 2,8,10 ($.50 R6-8) $24.00
Pick 3 R7 9,5,6,11 / R8 2,8,10 / R9 7,6,10,12 ($.50 R7-9) $24.00
P4$.50 Pick 4
Pick 4 R2 6,4 / R3 4,8,6 / R4 1,2,6 / R5 8,5 ($.50 R2-5) $18.00
Pick 4 R5 8,5 / R6 8,4,5,6 / R7 9,5,6,11 / R8 2,8,10 ($.50 R5-8) $48.00
P5$.50 Pick 5
Pick 5 R1 5,1 / R2 6,4 / R3 4,8,6 / R4 1,2,6 / R5 8,5 ($.50 R1-5) $36.00
Pick 5 R4 1,2,6 / R5 8,5 / R6 8,4,5,6 / R7 9,5,6,11 / R8 2,8,10 ($.50 R4-8) $144.00
DC6$.20 Derby City 6 — R3-8
DC-6 R3 4,8,6 / R4 1,2,6 / R5 8,5 / R6 8,4,5,6 / R7 9,5,6,11 / R8 2,8,10 ($.20 R3-8) $172.80
J8$1 Jackpot 8 — R9 (exact order of finish)
1st #7 Schwarzenegger (9-5, 25.9%)
Highest win probability
2nd #6 Double Talker (8-1, 16.7%)
2nd highest win probability
3rd #12 Military Cruiser (9-2, 12.7%)
Random selection
4th #10 Rose Ruler (8-1, 12.7%)
Random selection
5-8th #2 Poppa Echo (15-1, 2.5%), #11 Mega Magic (20-1, 9.2%), #1 Long Pour (20-1, 1.2%), #9 Taterpie (15-1, 2.5%)
Boxed (4! = 24 permutations)
Cost 1 × 1 × 1 × 1 × 24 = 24 combos $24.00

v3
JOC Jockey YTD win % · TRN Trainer YTD win % — absolute scale (A+ >25%, A 21-25%, ... D <10%)
CLS Class (field-relative) · SPD Speed (projected finish time from best race, 2-length bands)
PCE Pace (projected finish position from pace simulation: A+=1st, A=2nd-3rd, A-=4th, B+=5th, B=6th, B-=7th, C+=8th, C=9th, C-=10th, D=11th+)
Hover a J/T badge to see name and win rate. Click any header to sort.
Win % by ML odds rank: #1=34.8%, #2-4=17.1%, #5-6=5%, #7-8=2.5%, #9+=1.6%, normalized to 100%.
Bonus rules (first match wins per horse): (1) CLS ≥ A-, SPD ≥ A-: +8pp · (2) CLS ≥ B, SPD ≥ A-: +8pp · (3) CLS ≥ A-, SPD ≥ B-: +5pp
Connection bonuses (additive, stack on top): JOC ≥ A-: +5pp · TRN ≥ A-: +5pp
Field re-normalized to 100% after bonuses. Place/Show via Harville chain.