Best Bet
#6 Sartorial
Race 7 — Md 50000
8-5
35.3% win
Best Longshot
#10 La Marinera
Race 6 — OC 100k/N3X
50-1
PCE A-
R1Alw 127000N1X
Win#4 Should've (5-2) · #2 She Wants War (7-2) · #8 Rojo Rita (8-1)
Longshot#8 Rojo Rita (8-1) — CLS A+
Exacta4,2,8 / 4,2,8,11$9
Trifecta4,2,8 / 4,2,8,11 / 4,2,8,11,13,10,6,12$27.0
R2Md Sp Wt 120k
Win#11 Movie Night (9-5) · #7 Audra (6-1) · #4 Teatonic (9-2)
Longshot#3 Poise (8-1) — CLS A+
Exacta11,7,4 / 11,7,4,9$9
Trifecta11,7,4 / 11,7,4,9 / 11,7,4,9,3,5,2,12$27.0
R3Clm 16000B
Win#6 Couldyoubeloved (8-5) · #3 Little Dixie (5-2) · #4 Mint Driven (9-2) · #5 Wits and Wagers (7-2)
Longshot#2 Fasta Lavista Baby (15-1) — SPD A+
Exacta6,3,4,5 / 6,3,4,5$12
Trifecta6,3,4,5 / 6,3,4,5 / 3,4,5,6,1,2$24.0
R4OC 125k/N1X
Win#3 Dr. Agne (7-2) · #8 Patrol Squad Six (6-1) · #4 Sharons Pharoah (4-1) · #7 Chambersville (5-1)
Longshot#2 Mischief Ride (20-1) — PCE A
Exacta3,8,4 / 3,8,4,7,10$12
Trifecta3,8,4 / 3,8,4,7,10 / 3,8,4,7,10,9,2,6$36.0
R5Clm 30000B
Win#6 Tiger's Legacy (2-1) · #4 Shadow Coast (4-1)
Longshot#2 League of Legends (12-1) — SPD A+
Exacta6,4,3,5 / 6,4,3,5$12
Trifecta6,4,3,5 / 6,4,3,5 / 4,3,6,5,1,2$24.0
R6OC 100k/N3X
Win#4 In the Stars (4-1) · #6 For Love and Honor (9-2) · #1 She's Lookin Lucky (5-1)
Longshot#3 Shotgun Wedding (15-1) — SPD A+
Exacta4,6,1 / 4,6,1,2,12$12
Trifecta4,6,1 / 4,6,1,2,12 / 4,6,1,2,12,7,8$30.0
R7Md 50000
Win#6 Sartorial (8-5) · #1 Paul's Recovery (3-1) · #3 Pelican Bay (4-1) · #7 Champagne Liberal (9-2)
Longshot#4 Ur Benja (20-1) — SPD A+
Exacta6,1,3,7 / 6,1,3,7$12
Trifecta6,1,3,7 / 6,1,3,7 / 1,3,7,6,2,5$24.0
R8Lsvill-G3
Win#3 Burnham Square (2-5) · #2 Echo Lane (4-1) · #5 Dancin in Da'nile (12-1)
Longshot#5 Dancin in Da'nile (12-1) — CLS C
Exacta3,2,5,1 / 3,2,5,1$12
Trifecta3,2,5,1 / 3,2,5,1 / 2,5,1,3,4,6$24.0
R9OC 80k/N2X
Win#13 Hymn (7-2) · #3 Kalahari Dreams (5-1) · #6 Money Supply (4-1)
Longshot#5 Track Phantom (8-1) — CLS A+
Exacta13,3,6 / 13,3,6,4$9
Trifecta13,3,6 / 13,3,6,4 / 13,3,6,4,2,8,12,7,10$31.5
R10Alw 50000s
Win#9 McAfee (7-5) · #8 Big Gain (3-1) · #7 Non Conforming (8-1)
Longshot#3 Global Quote (30-1) — SPD A+
Exacta9,8,7 / 9,8,7,1,3$12
Trifecta9,8,7 / 9,8,7,1,3 / 9,8,7,1,3,6$24.0
Multi-Race Wagers
P3$.50 Pick 3 — Rolling
Pick 3 R1 4,2,8 / R2 11,7,4 / R3 6,3,4,5 ($.50 R1-3) $18.00
Pick 3 R2 11,7,4 / R3 6,3,4,5 / R4 3,8,4,7 ($.50 R2-4) $24.00
Pick 3 R3 6,3,4,5 / R4 3,8,4,7 / R5 6,4 ($.50 R3-5) $16.00
Pick 3 R4 3,8,4,7 / R5 6,4 / R6 4,6,1 ($.50 R4-6) $12.00
Pick 3 R5 6,4 / R6 4,6,1 / R7 6,1,3,7 ($.50 R5-7) $12.00
Pick 3 R6 4,6,1 / R7 6,1,3,7 / R8 3,2,5 ($.50 R6-8) $18.00
Pick 3 R7 6,1,3,7 / R8 3,2,5 / R9 13,3,6 ($.50 R7-9) $18.00
Pick 3 R8 3,2,5 / R9 13,3,6 / R10 9,8,7 ($.50 R8-10) $13.50
P4$.50 Pick 4
Pick 4 R2 11,7,4 / R3 6,3,4,5 / R4 3,8,4,7 / R5 6,4 ($.50 R2-5) $48.00
Pick 4 R5 6,4 / R6 4,6,1 / R7 6,1,3,7 / R8 3,2,5 ($.50 R5-8) $36.00
P5$.50 Pick 5
Pick 5 R1 4,2,8 / R2 11,7,4 / R3 6,3,4,5 / R4 3,8,4,7 / R5 6,4 ($.50 R1-5) $144.00
Pick 5 R4 3,8,4,7 / R5 6,4 / R6 4,6,1 / R7 6,1,3,7 / R8 3,2,5 ($.50 R4-8) $144.00
DC6$.20 Derby City 6 — R3-8
DC-6 R3 6,3,4,5 / R4 3,8,4,7 / R5 6,4 / R6 4,6,1 / R7 6,1,3,7 / R8 3,2,5 ($.20 R3-8) $230.40
J8$1 Jackpot 8 — R10 (exact order of finish)
1st #9 McAfee (7-5, 29.1%)
Highest win probability
2nd #8 Big Gain (3-1, 17.2%)
2nd highest win probability
3rd #1 Bourbon Flight (6-1, 11.6%)
Random selection
4th #7 Non Conforming (8-1, 15.1%)
Random selection
5-8th #4 Spirit of a Walkon (12-1, 3.4%), #3 Global Quote (30-1, 10.2%), #5 Midway Munny (30-1, 1.1%), #10 Googol Joke (15-1, 1.7%)
Boxed (4! = 24 permutations)
Cost 1 × 1 × 1 × 1 × 24 = 24 combos $24.00

v3
JOC Jockey YTD win % · TRN Trainer YTD win % — absolute scale (A+ >25%, A 21-25%, ... D <10%)
CLS Class (field-relative) · SPD Speed (projected finish time from best race, 2-length bands)
PCE Pace (projected finish position from pace simulation: A+=1st, A=2nd-3rd, A-=4th, B+=5th, B=6th, B-=7th, C+=8th, C=9th, C-=10th, D=11th+)
Hover a J/T badge to see name and win rate. Click any header to sort.
Win % by ML odds rank: #1=34.8%, #2-4=17.1%, #5-6=5%, #7-8=2.5%, #9+=1.6%, normalized to 100%.
Bonus rules (first match wins per horse): (1) CLS ≥ A-, SPD ≥ A-: +8pp · (2) CLS ≥ B, SPD ≥ A-: +8pp · (3) CLS ≥ A-, SPD ≥ B-: +5pp
Connection bonuses (additive, stack on top): JOC ≥ A-: +5pp · TRN ≥ A-: +5pp
Field re-normalized to 100% after bonuses. Place/Show via Harville chain.