Best Bet
#10 Factor Analysis
Race 5 — Clm 50000
6-1
11.3% win
Best Longshot
#2 Angel Life
Race 1 — Md 40000
30-1
CLS A+
R1Md 40000
Win#8 Sweet Mary (9-5) · #6 Speech and Drama (5-2)
Longshot#2 Angel Life (30-1) — CLS A+
Exacta8,6,1,7 / 8,6,1,7$12
Trifecta8,6,1,7 / 8,6,1,7 / 6,8,1,7,4,5$24.0
R2Clm 16000N2L
Win#7 Theprincessfactor (2-1) · #5 Haleakala (5-1)
Longshot#4 Firebird Suite (10-1) — SPD A+
Exacta7,5,2 / 7,5,2,8$9
Trifecta7,5,2 / 7,5,2,8 / 5,2,8,7,1,6$18.0
R3Alw 30000s
Win#1 Next Up (5-2) · #4 Country Club (9-2)
Longshot#3 Planet Clare (8-1) — CLS A
Exacta1,4,2 / 1,4,2,5$9
Trifecta1,4,2 / 1,4,2,5 / 4,2,1,5,7,3,8$22.5
R4Clm 30000N2L
Win#6 From Scratch (5-2) · #7 Dolce Vino (5-1) · #8 Bamtwentyklater (7-2)
Longshot#4 Merry Madison (8-1) — CLS A+
Exacta6,7,8 / 6,7,8,5,2$12
Trifecta6,7,8 / 6,7,8,5,2 / 6,7,8,5,2,1$24.0
R5Clm 50000
Win#1 Write Off Jerry (4-1) · #12 Tapit Shoes (9-2) · #10 Factor Analysis (6-1)
Longshot#11 War Officer (12-1) — SPD A+
Exacta1,12,10 / 1,12,10,6,11,3$15
Trifecta1,12,10 / 1,12,10,6,11,3 / 1,12,10,6,11,3,7,2$45.0
R6Md 12500
Win#10 Next Time (3-1) · #6 Carcar Express (4-1) · #9 Start Out (9-2)
Longshot#4 Cause Ima Boss (15-1) — SPD A
Exacta10,6,9,5 / 10,6,9,5$12
Trifecta10,6,9,5 / 10,6,9,5 / 10,6,9,5,1,11$24.0
R7Md 100000
Win#7 Authentic Patriot (6-5) · #1 Rock Music (4-1)
Longshot#6 Accord (15-1) — PCE A
Exacta7,1,3 / 7,1,3,5$9
Trifecta7,1,3 / 7,1,3,5 / 1,3,7,5,4$13.5
R8Alw 127000N1X
Win#14 Icona (3-1) · #1 Competitive Market (7-2) · #3 Princess Attitude (9-2) · #12 Totally Justified (5-1)
Longshot#8 Gerlin's Empire (12-1) — SPD A+
Exacta14,1,3 / 14,1$4
Trifecta14,1,3 / 14,1 / 14,1,3,12,6,11,8,5,15,7$16.0
R9Clm 80000N2L
Win#1 Miracle Mark (9-5) · #2 Gethsemane (5-2)
Longshot#6 White Whale (10-1) — CLS A
Exacta1,2,5 / 1,2,5,9$9
Trifecta1,2,5 / 1,2,5,9 / 2,5,1,9,3,6$18.0
R10Md Sp Wt 120k
Win#8 American Debutante (5-2) · #10 Elida's Angel (5-1) · #11 Private Property (4-1)
Longshot#2 Empress Sisi (15-1) — SPD A+
Exacta8,10,11 / 8,10,11,6$9
Trifecta8,10,11 / 8,10,11,6 / 8,10,11,6,9,14,12,3,5,16$36.0
Multi-Race Wagers
P3$.50 Pick 3 — Rolling
Pick 3 R1 8,6 / R2 7,5 / R3 1,4 ($.50 R1-3) $4.00
Pick 3 R2 7,5 / R3 1,4 / R4 6,7,8 ($.50 R2-4) $6.00
Pick 3 R3 1,4 / R4 6,7,8 / R5 1,12,10 ($.50 R3-5) $9.00
Pick 3 R4 6,7,8 / R5 1,12,10 / R6 10,6,9 ($.50 R4-6) $13.50
Pick 3 R5 1,12,10 / R6 10,6,9 / R7 7,1 ($.50 R5-7) $9.00
Pick 3 R6 10,6,9 / R7 7,1 / R8 14,1,3,12 ($.50 R6-8) $12.00
Pick 3 R7 7,1 / R8 14,1,3,12 / R9 1,2 ($.50 R7-9) $8.00
Pick 3 R8 14,1,3,12 / R9 1,2 / R10 8,10,11 ($.50 R8-10) $12.00
P4$.50 Pick 4
Pick 4 R2 7,5 / R3 1,4 / R4 6,7,8 / R5 1,12,10 ($.50 R2-5) $18.00
Pick 4 R5 1,12,10 / R6 10,6,9 / R7 7,1 / R8 14,1,3,12 ($.50 R5-8) $36.00
P5$.50 Pick 5
Pick 5 R1 8,6 / R2 7,5 / R3 1,4 / R4 6,7,8 / R5 1,12,10 ($.50 R1-5) $36.00
Pick 5 R4 6,7,8 / R5 1,12,10 / R6 10,6,9 / R7 7,1 / R8 14,1,3,12 ($.50 R4-8) $108.00
DC6$.20 Derby City 6 — R3-8
DC-6 R3 1,4 / R4 6,7,8 / R5 1,12,10 / R6 10,6,9 / R7 7,1 / R8 14,1,3,12 ($.20 R3-8) $86.40
J8$1 Jackpot 8 — R10 (exact order of finish)
1st #8 American Debutante (5-2, 27.0%)
Highest win probability
2nd #10 Elida's Angel (5-1, 14.0%)
2nd highest win probability
3rd #6 Emerald Spun (8-1, 10.1%)
Random selection
4th #11 Private Property (4-1, 10.5%)
Random selection
5-8th #3 One Happy Island (20-1, 4.5%), #9 That Wasn't Me (6-1, 6.8%), #16 Charted Destiny (15-1, 4.5%), #5 Birch Run (30-1, 4.5%)
Boxed (4! = 24 permutations)
Cost 1 × 1 × 1 × 1 × 24 = 24 combos $24.00

v3
JOC Jockey YTD win % · TRN Trainer YTD win % — absolute scale (A+ >25%, A 21-25%, ... D <10%)
CLS Class (field-relative) · SPD Speed (projected finish time from best race, 2-length bands)
PCE Pace (projected finish position from pace simulation: A+=1st, A=2nd-3rd, A-=4th, B+=5th, B=6th, B-=7th, C+=8th, C=9th, C-=10th, D=11th+)
Hover a J/T badge to see name and win rate. Click any header to sort.
Win % by ML odds rank: #1=34.8%, #2-4=17.1%, #5-6=5%, #7-8=2.5%, #9+=1.6%, normalized to 100%.
Bonus rules (first match wins per horse): (1) CLS ≥ A-, SPD ≥ A-: +8pp · (2) CLS ≥ B, SPD ≥ A-: +8pp · (3) CLS ≥ A-, SPD ≥ B-: +5pp
Connection bonuses (additive, stack on top): JOC ≥ A-: +5pp · TRN ≥ A-: +5pp
Field re-normalized to 100% after bonuses. Place/Show via Harville chain.